Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.000164 0.000176 0.000190 0.000205 0.000222 0.000240 0.000262
2024-10-27 0.000145 0.000164 0.000185 0.000210 0.000241 0.000276 0.000320
2024-11-03 0.000130 0.000150 0.000175 0.000205 0.000243 0.000289 0.000351
2024-11-10 0.000119 0.000141 0.000168 0.000202 0.000247 0.000304 0.000383
2024-11-17 0.000110 0.000133 0.000161 0.000198 0.000248 0.000314 0.000410
2024-11-24 0.000104 0.000128 0.000158 0.000199 0.000255 0.000331 0.000446
2024-12-01 0.000099 0.000123 0.000154 0.000198 0.000259 0.000345 0.000481
2024-12-08 0.000096 0.000121 0.000153 0.000200 0.000268 0.000366 0.000526
2024-12-15 0.000091 0.000116 0.000149 0.000197 0.000269 0.000375 0.000554
2024-12-22 0.000087 0.000113 0.000146 0.000197 0.000274 0.000390 0.000594
2024-12-29 0.000085 0.000110 0.000145 0.000198 0.000281 0.000409 0.000642
2025-01-05 0.000083 0.000109 0.000145 0.000201 0.000289 0.000431 0.000698
2025-01-12 0.000079 0.000105 0.000141 0.000198 0.000290 0.000442 0.000736
2025-01-19 0.000077 0.000104 0.000142 0.000203 0.000304 0.000475 0.000823
2025-01-26 0.000074 0.000100 0.000137 0.000198 0.000300 0.000479 0.000851
2025-02-02 0.000071 0.000096 0.000134 0.000195 0.000301 0.000489 0.000893
2025-02-09 0.000068 0.000093 0.000130 0.000192 0.000299 0.000495 0.000929
2025-02-16 0.000066 0.000091 0.000128 0.000192 0.000304 0.000513 0.000994
2025-02-23 0.000064 0.000089 0.000126 0.000191 0.000307 0.000529 0.001058
2025-03-02 0.000062 0.000088 0.000126 0.000193 0.000316 0.000556 0.001152
2025-03-09 0.000060 0.000085 0.000123 0.000190 0.000315 0.000565 0.001201
2025-03-16 0.000059 0.000083 0.000122 0.000190 0.000320 0.000584 0.001282
2025-03-23 0.000058 0.000082 0.000121 0.000191 0.000327 0.000610 0.001387